Research preview. Independent expert review is pending. The worked analyses are hypothetical. Method and corrections
AIAIGovSpec

AI governance from first principles

Govern while choices are still choices.

AIGovSpec is a source-linked guide for learners, policy researchers, practitioners and people affected by AI decisions. Its editorial framework begins one level above the AI system, with the incentives, institutions, infrastructures and safeguards that turn capabilities into outcomes, tests each arrangement for power, legitimacy, distribution and adaptability, and asks whether it is still a choice.

How to use AIGovSpec

Choose a question to start with.

This is a deliberately limited prototype, organized around an editorial framework rather than a universal standard. Use it to ask better questions and inspect evidence; it does not determine legal duties or certify compliance. Read the method and limitations.

Four cross-cutting tests

The objects tell us where governance acts. The tests help us examine whether the arrangement is defensible.

The temporal principle

Govern while choices are still choices.

Early in a technological transition, change is easier but information is scarce; later, the consequences are clearer but change is harder. This is the Collingridge dilemma, and AI governance faces it in two directions at once.

Acting too late

Technological and institutional lock-in from acting too late

Harmful practices, market structures, or technical dependencies become conditions that are costly to reverse.

Acting too early

Governance lock-in from acting too early or too rigidly

Governments can institutionalize the wrong metric, threshold, category, or compliance architecture before the technology is sufficiently understood.

The appropriate response is not simply earlier governance. It is anticipatory and adaptive governance: intervene when consequential choices remain reversible, specify how mechanisms will be reviewed, gather evidence about whether they are working, and preserve the ability to revise them when assumptions prove wrong. Govern while choices are still choices, but build governance that can learn.

Inquiry and practice

Eleven questions for any proposal.

A diagnostic, not a checklist. Apply it to a law, corporate policy, treaty, national strategy, or technical standard, or read the worked analyses first.

Open the diagnostic
Worked analysis · hypothetical · corporate levelReleasing a significantly more capable frontier modelA frontier AI developer must decide whether to release a model that is significantly more capable than anything currently deployed.Worked analysis · hypothetical · national levelLicensing an imported AI triage systemA health ministry in a middle-income country must decide whether to license an AI triage system that was trained and evaluated elsewhere.Worked analysis · hypothetical · sectoral levelAdopting an AI shortlisting tool under a risk-based lawAn employer operating in the European Union must decide whether to adopt a vendor's AI system to shortlist job applicants.Worked analysis · hypothetical · community levelA school decides whether to pilot an AI tutoring toolA secondary school's leadership must decide whether to run a one-term pilot of a commercial AI tutoring tool for pupils aged 11 to 16.Worked analysis · hypothetical · community levelA community organisation deploys a multilingual AI assistantA community organisation must decide whether to launch an AI chat assistant that answers residents' questions about public services in several languages.Worked analysis · hypothetical · national levelA child-safety regulator responds to a companion chatbot teenagers useA national child-safety regulator must decide how to respond to a companion chatbot that many teenagers use. It could issue guidance, open an investigation, require design changes within its powers, or recommend new rules.

Evidence, not false certainty

Follow a claim back to its sources.

88

source-linked claims

91

sources in the register

11

contested entities

6

worked analyses